Let's Do This: If the 2026 Senate Elections Turn Out Like 2025 Special Elections, Control of the Senate Will Be a Toss-up

I have the numbers to demonstrate this

Photo by Dima Solomin on Unsplash

How well are Democrats doing in special elections in 2025? So well that, if the 2026 U.S. Senate elections turn out like the 2025 elections have so far, then control of the U.S. Senate would genuinely be a toss-up.

That may seem like a stretch, or perhaps just the typical sort of hyperbolic statement that one should expec…