Opponents of VP Harris are at work claiming that she is an extremist. Her record shows she has taken several progressive stands on free college tuition and the Green New Deal. These have either been tamped down by the White House or stalled from congressional inaction, from what I've read in Google searches. Soon in Pennsylvania she'll try to soft-pedal her anti-fracking position, and likely profess moderation on other stands. I doubt she'll moderate her strong stand for reproductive rights. She can't please everybody, of course. I hope she shows as much spine as cheer in campaigning.
For now, we still appear to be where we have been. If Dems show up like we did in 2016, looks like President Trump is a very real possibility. If Dems show up like 2020, looks like that’s enough to get to 270.
I respectfully disagree, Mike. True, the fundamentals of the campaign are unchanged -- Trump will still make sure it's a referendum on him -- but in 2016 Trump was a pop culture phenomenon who inspired a movement, and right now that better describes Harris. We'll have a better sense of where things stand when the polling settles down after Labor Day, but right now this doesn't look like 2016 or 2020. I'll be posting about that on Friday.
Matt, your PhD in PolSci trumps (hah!) my compsci degrees on this topic. :-)
But: I meant that 2016 Dems did not vote for the Dem nominee. 2020 Dems did. I don't mean the election looks the same -- even I can see that it doesn't!
Will we get the 2020 Dems at the polls -- or the 2016 Dems who didn't vote or who voted for Gary Johnson or, unbelievably, Jill Stein? TBD.
Indications (quantitative and qualitative) are that the Democratic base is fired up in a way that it wasn't in either 2016 or 2020, Mike. If that continues, we are potentially looking at something more like 2008 -- with the caveat that it's still too early to know for sure. That's what I'll be writing about tomorrow.
I'll settle for 2020, Matt -- but, 2008 would sure be OK! The only thing better than a Dem win would be a Blue wave win that sparks the end of this generation of Republican politics (a topic you have written about many times).
Opponents of VP Harris are at work claiming that she is an extremist. Her record shows she has taken several progressive stands on free college tuition and the Green New Deal. These have either been tamped down by the White House or stalled from congressional inaction, from what I've read in Google searches. Soon in Pennsylvania she'll try to soft-pedal her anti-fracking position, and likely profess moderation on other stands. I doubt she'll moderate her strong stand for reproductive rights. She can't please everybody, of course. I hope she shows as much spine as cheer in campaigning.
For now, we still appear to be where we have been. If Dems show up like we did in 2016, looks like President Trump is a very real possibility. If Dems show up like 2020, looks like that’s enough to get to 270.
I respectfully disagree, Mike. True, the fundamentals of the campaign are unchanged -- Trump will still make sure it's a referendum on him -- but in 2016 Trump was a pop culture phenomenon who inspired a movement, and right now that better describes Harris. We'll have a better sense of where things stand when the polling settles down after Labor Day, but right now this doesn't look like 2016 or 2020. I'll be posting about that on Friday.
Matt, your PhD in PolSci trumps (hah!) my compsci degrees on this topic. :-)
But: I meant that 2016 Dems did not vote for the Dem nominee. 2020 Dems did. I don't mean the election looks the same -- even I can see that it doesn't!
Will we get the 2020 Dems at the polls -- or the 2016 Dems who didn't vote or who voted for Gary Johnson or, unbelievably, Jill Stein? TBD.
Indications (quantitative and qualitative) are that the Democratic base is fired up in a way that it wasn't in either 2016 or 2020, Mike. If that continues, we are potentially looking at something more like 2008 -- with the caveat that it's still too early to know for sure. That's what I'll be writing about tomorrow.
I'll settle for 2020, Matt -- but, 2008 would sure be OK! The only thing better than a Dem win would be a Blue wave win that sparks the end of this generation of Republican politics (a topic you have written about many times).
Looking forward to your article.